We won't know for two weeks but....
President - Trump - 80% certainty
Senate - GOP - 60% certainty
House - Dems - 100% certainty
Don't run out to your bookie. I'm often wrong.
I'll give you credit, that was brave - or stupid
Why Trump will win:
-Biden's unnecessary embracing the progressives. He already had them. Should've worked on the moderates
-Covid fatigue. It was right to criticize Trump. But the gratuitous constant wearing of masks was bad optics. Voters didn't need the constant negative reminder
-Biden's ridiculous stance and comments on fossil fuels. That's an argument for a time when we actually have alternatives. Like moderates don't like their cars ?? geeze !
-Biden's very tepid criticism of the violence and property destruction.
Why Biden might win:
He's not Trump
Obama
Harris
Experience
A couple of good points, but in my opinion the only way Biden wins is simply because he ain't Trump.